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Nuclear Finance: Will Consumers Embrace the Risk

by Ivy

Western nations have long had a mixed relationship with nuclear energy, but a renewed interest is now evident in countries like the Czech Republic, Sweden, the US, and the UK. This shift in enthusiasm is starting to influence the private sector, with significant financial institutions making notable pledges.

This week, 14 of the world’s leading banks and financial entities committed to increasing their support for nuclear power. Microsoft has also signed a 20-year power supply agreement with Constellation Energy, aimed at reopening a part of a US nuclear facility that was closed in 2019.

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However, these pledges, while encouraging, come with their own set of challenges. The real test of commitment will be whether these financial promises translate into concrete support for nuclear projects. Historically, securing financing for nuclear power has been a major hurdle due to the high upfront costs and extended construction timelines. If a project were to fail, an incomplete nuclear plant would have limited value as collateral, making traditional financing methods untenable.

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Jens Weibezahn, an assistant professor at the Copenhagen Business School, highlights the issue: the high-risk nature of nuclear projects often results in prohibitively high interest rates from lenders, further complicating project viability.

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Recent projects like EDF’s Hinkley Point C in the UK have illustrated these financial challenges. Initially budgeted at £18 billion, costs have surged to between £41.6 billion and £47 billion, far exceeding initial projections.

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In response, some countries are exploring risk-sharing mechanisms. Sweden’s energy minister Ebba Busch announced that Sweden is considering models such as the regulated asset base, where consumers contribute to the cost of construction before the plant begins operations.

Microsoft’s recent deal underscores a different approach where the private sector supports existing nuclear infrastructure rather than new developments. While this arrangement helps, it does not address the financing of new builds.

The financial sector has previously shown interest in nuclear projects but often retreated when risks became apparent. New financing models are rekindling some interest, yet the true measure of support will be seen in how risks are distributed. KPMG’s Simon Virley notes that understanding who bears the financial risk will be crucial in determining if banks are genuinely prepared to support nuclear ventures.

A key concern remains that if the financial burden shifts too much onto taxpayers or consumers, public backlash could become a significant obstacle. Historical patterns show that escalating costs and safety concerns can quickly alter public opinion and derail nuclear projects.

As the nuclear energy landscape evolves, the interplay between financial support, risk management, and public perception will be critical in determining the future of nuclear power.

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