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Price Cannibalization Challenges Financing for Photovoltaic Projects in Spain

by Ivy

As Spain strives to meet ambitious renewable energy targets, independent developers of photovoltaic (PV) projects face significant financing hurdles. The banks are tightening lending for solar initiatives that lack long-term contracts for electricity sales at fixed prices, creating a challenging environment for the rapid deployment of solar parks. With an estimated €50 billion needed to meet the new objectives set by the updated National Integrated Energy and Climate Plan (PNIEC), the urgency for financing has never been higher.

Electricity Price Volatility and Its Impact

In recent years, the Spanish electricity market has witnessed dramatic price fluctuations. Following a period of historic highs during the energy crisis, there have been numerous instances of zero and negative electricity prices, largely driven by the influx of new renewable energy sources, particularly photovoltaics. This pricing volatility arises from the market’s marginalist pricing system, where the last technology needed to meet demand dictates the price for all generation sources. Consequently, when renewable sources, like solar and hydroelectric, dominate production, prices plummet.

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The prevalence of zero or negative prices creates a significant distortion for existing plants, affecting their ability to cover production costs and disincentivizing investment in new renewable projects. The renewable energy sector is increasingly alarmed by this “cannibalization” of prices, which jeopardizes the profitability of both current and future solar installations.

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Financing Challenges for Independent Developers

Due to these unpredictable market conditions, banks have become more selective about financing photovoltaic projects. They are now primarily supporting large energy groups or projects that have secured Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) — long-term contracts ensuring a fixed price for electricity sales. Independent developers who lack such contracts find it exceedingly difficult to secure the necessary funding.

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José Donoso, the general director of the Spanish Photovoltaic Union (UNEF), remarked, “With these prices, there is no financing for the plants that are going to sell their electricity on the market.” He highlighted that recent shifts in bank policies have resulted in a complete withdrawal of financing for projects lacking a PPA or robust auction results.

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The Stigmatization of Photovoltaics

The solar energy sector is being unfairly criticized for its role in driving down electricity prices, leading to increased caution among banks. Manuel Mingot, a partner at Squire Patton Boggs, pointed out that while there is liquidity in the market, lenders are requiring photovoltaic project promoters to secure a PPA to minimize risk. Without such agreements, securing financing has become virtually impossible.

While independent photovoltaic projects struggle, the wind energy sector has managed to navigate the financing landscape more successfully, highlighting a disparity in how different renewable technologies are perceived and supported.

Government Initiatives and Future Projections

The Spanish government has recently approved an updated PNIEC, which aims to significantly boost renewable energy capacity, targeting 76,000 megawatts (MW) of photovoltaic energy by the end of the decade. This ambitious goal necessitates the accelerated deployment of new solar installations, especially given the current 28,500 MW of operational solar capacity.

Despite the government’s commitment to mobilize approximately €308 billion by 2030, with €252.5 billion expected to come from private investment, the solar industry faces a paradox. The current tightening of credit for solar projects occurs against a backdrop of heightened investment expectations outlined in the PNIEC.

Furthermore, the government has authorized the construction of around 45,000 MW of new renewable plants, predominantly solar. However, the ongoing legislative process concerning the extension of construction deadlines has created additional uncertainty, potentially hindering project financing and execution.

The Need for Legal and Price Stability

Industry leaders argue that enhancing legal certainty and establishing price stability in the electricity market are essential to facilitate financing for solar projects. Mingot emphasized that storage solutions need to be regulated to allow for better pricing strategies, enabling the resale of electricity at more favorable rates.

UNEF is advocating for greater price stability to encourage long-term fixed-price contracts and the initiation of new auctions with guaranteed remuneration for green energy projects. They propose measures to prevent speculative practices in auctions, limit monopolistic behaviors, and extend the duration of fixed-price guarantees to match the amortization periods of solar plants.

Conclusion

The challenges facing the photovoltaic sector in Spain underscore the complexities of transitioning to a renewable energy economy amid fluctuating market conditions. As the government pushes forward with ambitious energy goals, the focus must shift towards creating a stable, predictable environment for investment in solar projects. Without significant reforms in financing practices and market structures, the ambitious targets of the PNIEC may remain out of reach.

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