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The labour market is strong. So why did redundancies double in January?

by Celia

The U.S. job market continues to be a driving force in the economy, with the unemployment rate hovering near a 50-year low and wages finally outpacing inflation. However, recent announcements of significant job cuts by major companies in technology, finance, media, and other key sectors have raised concerns, with layoffs more than doubling nationwide in January compared to the previous month.

According to a recent analysis from executive coaching firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas, U.S. companies announced over 82,300 job cuts in January, marking a 136% increase from December. While this surge in layoffs may raise questions about the strength of the labor market and employee job security, experts suggest that the job market overall remains robust.

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Economists point to the nation’s low unemployment rate and ongoing hiring as indicators of a healthy job market. However, they acknowledge that the pace of hiring has cooled compared to the hiring frenzy seen in 2021 and 2022 as the economy recovered from the initial impact of the pandemic. Despite this slowdown, the U.S. economy added 2.7 million new jobs in 2023, a figure still higher than pre-pandemic levels.

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A recent report from JPMorgan Wealth Management highlights that while labor market conditions have eased, they remain healthy. Additionally, a survey conducted by Goldman Sachs found that 57% of small businesses plan to add jobs in 2024, signaling optimism about future growth.

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Comparing January 2024 layoffs to previous years, excluding January 2023, these layoffs represent the highest number of job cuts announced in the first month of the year since January 2009 during the Great Recession. Financial and tech industries saw the largest number of layoffs in January 2024, with financial firms announcing over 23,200 job cuts and tech companies following closely with nearly 16,000 layoffs. Media businesses also increased job cuts, albeit on a smaller scale.

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Reasons behind the layoffs vary, with some companies aiming to cut costs amid rising interest rates, while others are streamlining operations after a pandemic-induced hiring spree. Additionally, businesses are shifting focus towards investing in artificial intelligence, leading to job cuts in non-AI business units.

Looking ahead, economists predict that more layoffs may occur in 2024 as businesses continue to prioritize cost-cutting measures. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the central bank’s goal of achieving a “soft landing,” where the labor market cools without causing a significant increase in unemployment, as part of efforts to manage inflation and economic growth effectively.

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